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Published since 1950, this authoritative, annual reference is based upon a unique IMF database that tracks exchange and trade arrangements for all 186 IMF member countries, along with Hong Kong SAR, Aruba, and the Netherlands Antilles. The Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions (AREAER) draws together information available to the IMF from a number of sources, including during official IMF staff visits to member countries. There is a separate chapter for each of the 189 countries included, and these are presented in a clear, easy-to-read tabular format. A summary table allows for simple cross-country comparisons of key features of their exchange and trade regimes. The report's introduction summarizes recent global trends and developments. It discusses such topical issues as exchange rate arrangements, current or capital transactions, or prudential regulations. The individual country chapters outline exchange measures in place, the structure and setting of exchange rates, arrangements for payments and receipts, procedures for resident and nonresident accounts, mechanisms for import and export payments and receipts, controls on capital transactions, and provisions specific to the financial sector. The report now provides more detailed information on the operations of foreign exchange markets and exchange rate mechanisms and better describes the regulatory framework for current and capital account transactions.
Money and Monetary Policy --- Finance: General --- Monetary Policy --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Monetary economics --- Finance --- Monetary policy --- Asset and liability management --- Liquidity --- Economics
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Inflation targeting (IT) is a relatively new monetary policy framework for low-income countries (LICs). The limited number of LICs with an IT framework and the short time that has elapsed since the adoption of this framework explains why there are no previous empirical studies on the performance of IT in LICs. This paper has made a first attempt at filling this gap. It finds that inflation targeting appears to be associated with lower inflation and inflation volatility. At the same time, there is no robust evidence of an adverse impact on output. This may explain the appeal of IT for many LICs, where building credibility of monetary policy is difficult and minimizing output costs of reducing inflation is imperative for social and political reasons.
Inflation targeting --- Targeting, Inflation --- Monetary policy --- Econometric models. --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Monetary economics --- Macroeconomics --- Finance --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Monetary transmission mechanism --- Monetary policy frameworks --- Prices --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- Ghana
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Money has only limited information value for future inflation in Ghana over a typical monetary policy implementation horizon (four to eight quarters). On the other hand, currency depreciation and demand pressures (as measured by the output gap) are shown to be important predictors of future price changes. Inflation inertia is high and inflation expectations are largely based on backward-looking information, suggesting that inflation expectations are not well anchored and hence more is needed to strengthen the credibility of Ghana's inflation-targeting regime.1.
Inflation targeting --- Targeting, Inflation --- Monetary policy --- Econometric models. --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Production and Operations Management --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Demand for Money --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Monetary Policy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Monetary base --- Demand for money --- Output gap --- Prices --- Money --- Production --- Money supply --- Economic theory --- Ghana
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This paper outlines important lessons for monetary policy. In particular, the role of inflation targeting, which was much acclaimed prior to the financial crisis and since then has not lost much of its endorsement, is critically reviewed. Ignoring the relation between monetary policy and asset prices, as is the case in this monetary policy approach, can lead to financial instability. In contrast, giving, inter alia, monetary factors a role in central banks’ policy decisions, as is done in the ECB’s encompassing approach, helps prevent these potentially harmful side effects and thus allows for fostering financial stability. Finally, this paper makes a case against increasing the central banks’ inflation target.
Monetary policy. --- Inflation targeting. --- Securities --- Targeting, Inflation --- Monetary policy --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Prices. --- Banks and Banking --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Asset prices --- Inflation targeting --- Price stabilization --- Prices --- Banks and banking --- Government policy --- United Kingdom
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This paper investigates the degree of inflation inertia in Egypt and its determinants using the cross country data consisting of over 100 countries. Medium-unbiased estimator of inflation inertia in Egypt is high compared to other countries, as indicated by its location around the upper quartile among the sample. The cross country analysis indicates that counter-cyclical macroeconomic policy and fiscal consolidation are a key to reduce inflation inertia and the costs of disinflation.
Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Egypt --- Economic policy. --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Production and Operations Management --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Output gap --- Inflation targeting --- Disinflation --- Monetary policy frameworks --- Prices --- Production --- Monetary policy --- Economic theory --- Egypt, Arab Republic of
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Several Central American (CADR) countries with independent monetary policies are strengthening their monetary frameworks and some have implemented or are moving towards inflation targeting (IT) regimes. Strengthening the monetary policy frameworks of CADR is key to improving the effectiveness of monetary policy. The paper reviews the literature on the reforms needed for strengthening the monetary policy frameworks, and examines the experiences of IT countries, Chile, Peru, and Uruguay to help distill lessons for CADR. It also constructs an index to measure the relative strength of the monetary policy framework of CADR countries.
Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary policy frameworks --- Exchange rate flexibility --- Central bank autonomy --- Monetary policy --- Prices --- Central banks --- Price stabilization --- Banks and banking --- Costa Rica
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During the global financial crisis, central banks in Pacific island countries eased monetary policy to stimulate economic activity. Judging by the ensuing movements in commercial bank interest rates and private sector credit, monetary policy transmission appears to be weak. This is confirmed by an empirical examination of interest rate pass-through and credit growth. Weak credit demand and underdeveloped financial markets seem to have limited the effectiveness of monetary policy, but the inflexibility of exchange rates and rising real interest rates have also served to frustrate the central banks’ efforts despite a supporting fiscal policy. While highlighting the importance of developing domestic financial markets in the long run, this experience also points to the need to coordinate macroeconomic policies and to use all macroeconomic tools available in conducting countercyclical policies, including exchange rate flexibility.
Monetary policy --- Transmission mechanism (Monetary policy) --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Monetary transmission mechanism --- Islands of the Pacific --- Pacific Islands --- Pacific Ocean Islands --- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Macroeconomics --- Conventional peg --- Central bank policy rate --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Credit --- Interest rates --- Prices --- Fiji, Republic of
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Over the past decade, Cambodia has become Asia’s most dollarized economy. In contrast, dollarization in neighboring Lao P.D.R., Mongolia, and Vietnam has been either declining or broadly stable. Somewhat paradoxically, growing dollarization in Cambodia has occurred against the backdrop of greater macroeconomic and political stability. The usual motive, currency substitution, does not appear to have been a factor. As the volume of dollars increased over the years, so has the volume of riel. A strong inward flow of dollars related to garments sector exports, tourism receipts, foreign direct investment, and aid, has benefitted the dollar based urban economy. The riel based rural economy has, however, lagged behind. Given international experience in de-dollarization, a carefully managed market based strategy, supported by a continued stable macroeconomic environment is essential for Cambodia’s de-dollarization.
Dollarization --- Monetary policy --- Banks and Banking --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Currencies --- Bank deposits --- International reserves --- De-dollarization --- Money --- Banks and banking --- Foreign exchange reserves --- Cambodia
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This paper develops a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support a transition to an inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model simulations suggest that an open-economy inflation targeting rule can reduce macroeconomic volatility and anchor inflationary expectations given the size and type of shocks faced by the economy. Sri Lanka could aim to target a broad inflation range initially due to its susceptibility supply-side shocks while enhancing exchange rate flexibility and strengthening the effectiveness of monetary policy in the transition to an inflation forecast targeting regime.
Inflation targeting --- Economic forecasting --- Economics --- Forecasting --- Economic indicators --- Targeting, Inflation --- Monetary policy --- Econometric models. --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Production and Operations Management --- Monetary Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Exchange rates --- Real exchange rates --- Output gap --- Prices --- Production --- Economic theory --- Sri Lanka
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Several Central American (CADR) central banks with independent monetary policies have adopted policy interest rates as their main instrument to signal their monetary policy stances, often in the context of adopting or transitioning to inflation targeting regimes. This paper finds that the interest-rate transmission mechanism, or the pass-through of the policy rate to market rates, is generally weaker and slower in CADR than in the LA6, the countries selected as benchmarks. A variety of potential factors behind this finding are examined, including the degrees of financial dollarization, exchange rate flexibility, bank concentration, financial sector development, and fiscal dominance. Through panel data analysis, the study suggests that the transmission mechanism can be strengthened by increasing exchange rate flexibility, and, over time, by adopting measures towards reducing financial dollarization, developing the financial sector, and reducing bank concentration.
Central America --- Economic conditions. --- Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Monetary Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Banking --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Finance --- Monetary economics --- Central bank policy rate --- Exchange rate flexibility --- Deposit rates --- Bank credit --- Financial services --- Inflation targeting --- Monetary policy --- Monetary policy frameworks --- Interest rates --- Banks and banking --- Credit --- Costa Rica
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